According to the results of a flash poll carried out by the agency Polis Slovakia, Robert Fico and his Smer-SD party could have enough support to be able to make a one-party government in the early elections called for March 2012.
The poll, prepared for and published by Plus jeden den, claims that a staggering 45.5% of people who are decided on which party to vote would vote for Smer-SD, meaning they would have 83 of the 150 seats in parliament. The results are based on a survey among 917 people from all over Slovakia.
The nearest rival according to the poll would be the SDKU party, with a mere 14.3%, followed by KDH with 8.8% and the SaS party with 8.3%, then Most-Hid with around 5.3%. The poll does not expect the Hungarian ethnic party SMK to get above the 5% threshold required to get into parliament (did not get in last time), but in the survey it just beats nationalist party SNS. Last year the SNS party questioned the legitimacy of the Polis agency, though, saying it is subject to shady financing.
This is the first poll to be carried out since early elections were announced at the end of last week, so they should be taken with a bucket of salt, because anything could happen between now and March. An online poll conducted by daily SME, for instance, showed the SaS party as the clear leader, but this poll was only among its readers, of course.